Education

AI’s Possible Collapse

This article explores the Ouroboros metaphor for AI collapse and examines paths forward, including multimodal learning, curated data, and JEPA.

AI’s Possible Collapse
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The Ouroboros, the ancient image of a snake devouring its own tail, has long symbolised cycles of renewal, infinity, and self-consumption. In mythology, it represents both creation and destruction. In technology, it may turn out to be a fitting metaphor for the way artificial intelligence evolves. Whether AI thrives or collapses could depend on how we handle the cycle of machines learning from their own outputs.

AI Trained on AI

A growing proportion of the internet is at least partly generated by machines. Studies show that only a small percentage of new content is entirely AI-written, but a majority is now hybrid, with humans drafting or editing around machine suggestions. These contributions are then published, indexed, and scraped. The next generation of large language models learns from them.

This creates a loop. If a model is trained mostly on text that previous models produced, what happens to originality, accuracy, and diversity?

The Risk of Model Collapse

Computer scientists call this problem model collapse. It describes the degradation that occurs when an AI system repeatedly learns from its own outputs rather than from a variety of human expressions.

  • Loss of diversity: Each generation becomes narrower, more predictable, and less creative.

  • Propagation of errors: Mistakes and biases in one generation are inherited by the next.

  • Erosion of grounding: The link between AI text and real-world human knowledge grows weaker.

In this cycle, the Ouroboros does not renew itself. It consumes the very substance that sustains it.

Why Hybrid Content Matters

Hybrid content blurs the boundary between human and machine. A student may draft an essay with AI and polish it by hand. A journalist may use AI to reframe paragraphs. A marketing team may rely on machine-written outlines. These fragments create the illusion of human variety but still carry machine fingerprints.

When this blended material dominates training data, models stop learning from masters and start reflecting themselves back endlessly.

Possible Futures

The Ouroboros metaphor captures the danger of self-consumption, but AI’s path is not fixed. Several futures are possible:

  1. The Ouroboros devours itself
    Training continues without strong filters. Synthetic content overwhelms authentic human material. Each generation grows more limited, converging on clichés while factual accuracy declines.

  2. The Ouroboros sheds its skin
    Developers and researchers introduce filtering, labelling, and curation. High-quality human knowledge remains the backbone of training. AI becomes a tool that amplifies human creativity instead of replacing it.

  3. Beyond text-only learning
    Future models may move away from dependence on internet text alone. They can integrate multimodal data such as images, audio, video, and sensor streams. This grounding in diverse signals could restore variety and prevent collapse.

  4. JEPA and new architectures
    Alternatives to predictive text models are emerging. Yann LeCun’s Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA) aims to learn structured representations of the world rather than simply generating the next word. By modelling reality directly, such systems may avoid the recursive traps of large language models.

  5. Synthetic but curated
    Synthetic data is not always harmful. When carefully generated and validated, it can enhance learning. In medical training or engineering, simulated data is essential. The risk lies in uncontrolled self-replication without oversight.

  6. AI guided by human feedback
    Reinforcement learning with human feedback (RLHF) has already shown that models can be aligned more closely with human judgement. Expanding human-in-the-loop approaches could ensure that AI evolves alongside society rather than drifting away from it.

A Human Responsibility

The Ouroboros reminds us that cycles can end in destruction as well as renewal. The future of AI will not be determined by algorithms alone but by the choices of people who build, regulate, and use them. If we want machines that expand knowledge instead of shrinking it, we must protect the originality and grounding that feed them.

The snake eating its tail warns against unchecked self-consumption. For AI to survive and thrive, the loop must stay open to the unpredictable, diverse, and irreducibly human.

 

References

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